Swing Trading - How To Determine Whether A Security Is Trending?
Posted: Saturday, January 16, 2010
by Scott Kilberg
Indiana Podiatry Group
If you are a swing trader who loves to swing trade stocks or securities, you need to first determine whether the stock or the security is trending or ranging. After knowing whether the market is trending or consolidation, you need to apply ranging indicators to the ranging market and the trending indicators to the trending market.
So the first important question that you need to ask before swing trading is whether this market is trending or not. The easiest way to determine a trend in the market is to take a look at the security chart. If you see a series of higher highs and lower lows in the chart, you know there is a trend. If not then it is ranging. In that case, you need to see clear support and resistance areas meaning the security prices clearly rises and falls between these two levels.
In swing trading, the two most important timeframes are the hourly and the daily charts. Longer timeframes like weekly are for long term investors and position trader. Since, eyeballing is an easy thing and somewhat subjective, you want to be sure in knowing whether the security or the stock is trending or ranging by using an indicator. There are many indicators that you can use in determining the trend.
The most popular indicator used by swing traders is the ADX (Average Directional Index). ADX actually does not directly tell about the trend, it infact tells you about the strength of the trend whether the trend is going strong or is weakening. ADX is an oscillator that oscillates between two values 0 and 100. The standard setting used by many swing trader for the ADX oscillator is the 14 days period.
If the ADX is below 20, the security is in a trading range and if the ADX is above 30, the security is considered to be trending. Readings between 20 and 30 are mostly ambiguous. When the reading is between 20 and 30, if the ADX is rising and above 20, you can take it as trending. And if ADX is falling and below 30 but above 20, you can take it as the security is in a trading range.
Without knowing the correct direction of the market, it pointless to plan a swing trade. Trending markets require a different swing trading strategy as compared to range trading markets.
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